MQ 4169 · DCA → MYR

departs 5:52 PM ET · arrives 7:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±0 pts +16 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MYR?

On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MYR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

MYR (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4169 · DCA → MYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to MYR?