Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4178
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
MQ 4178 · CLT → SAV
departs 11:00 AM ET · arrives 12:18 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±4 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at SAV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAV?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at SAV that day
↑
11am departures from CLT are often late
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
↓
Arrivals into SAV at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
SAV (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.