Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4178
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
MQ 4178 · SAV → CLT
departs 12:49 PM ET · arrives 2:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave SAV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at SAV that day
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
SAV usually runs smoothly
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAV (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.25 in
CLT (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.