OH 5039 · DCA → GRR

took off 12:15 PM ET · expected to land 1:37 PM ET (scheduled 12:21 PM ET → 2:22 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to GRR?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

GRR (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5039 · DCA → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?