Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5061 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

OH 5061 · DCA → BGR

departs 8:28 AM ET · arrives 10:29 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 56h before departure

Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BGR?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi forecast at BGR that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ BGR usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BGR (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precip0.05 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5061 · DCA → BGR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BGR?