Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5073 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:24 AM ET, ETA 1:39 AM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

OH 5073 · CLT → SBN

took off 12:24 AM ET · expected to land 1:39 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at SBN more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SBN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5073 · CLT → SBN

Odds over time