OH 5075 · DCA → BUF

departs 1:04 PM ET · arrives 2:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BUF?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BUF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5075 · DCA → BUF

Odds over time

How late will it get to BUF?