Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5086 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

OH 5086 · CLT → CHS

departs 6:00 PM ET · arrives 7:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CHS that day

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ 6pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ CHS usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.89 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5086 · CLT → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?