Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5140 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

OH 5140 · DCA → GSO

departs 6:19 PM ET · arrives 7:10 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at GSO more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±1 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at GSO that day

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

GSO (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5140 · DCA → GSO

Odds over time