OH 5179 · DCA → MHT

departs 3:26 PM ET · arrives 5:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MHT?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Other factors

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DCA that day

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

MHT (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5179 · DCA → MHT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MHT?