Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5196 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

OH 5196 · CLT → SAV

departs 3:50 PM ET · arrives 5:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAV?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.8 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ SAV usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precip0.16 in

SAV (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.53 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5196 · CLT → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?