OH 5213 · AVL → DCA

departs 12:04 PM ET · arrives 1:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5213 · AVL → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?