tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5227 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

OH 5227 · DCA → SDF

departs 7:16 AM ET · arrives 9:12 AM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.3d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SDF?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.