Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5257 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

OH 5257 · AVL → CLT

departs 5:00 AM ET · arrives 6:07 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at CLT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at AVL that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into CLT at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.4 mi Precip0.01 in

CLT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5257 · AVL → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?