OH 5371 · DCA → DTW

departs 3:14 PM ET · arrives 5:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DTW?

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5371 · DCA → DTW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DTW?