OH 5371 · DTW → DCA

departs 5:21 PM ET · arrives 7:00 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 5pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5371 · DTW → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?