Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5373 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

OH 5373 · DCA → MSN

departs 10:00 PM ET · arrives 11:19 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSN?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ 10pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSN

↓ Visibility down to 1.66667 mi forecast at DCA that day

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,133 ft Visibility1.66667 mi Precipnone

MSN (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5373 · DCA → MSN

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSN?