Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5412 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

OH 5412 · DCA → BDL

departs 5:26 PM ET · arrives 6:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BDL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

BDL (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling6,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5412 · DCA → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?