Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5446 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

OH 5446 · CLT → XNA

departs 9:01 AM ET · arrives 10:35 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at XNA more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to XNA?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at CLT that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at XNA

↓ Arrivals into XNA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

XNA (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5446 · CLT → XNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to XNA?