OH 5452 · DCA → RDU

departs 7:02 PM ET · arrives 8:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ 7pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

RDU (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5452 · DCA → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?