Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5455 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

OH 5455 · DCA → MGM

departs 5:00 PM ET · arrives 6:17 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 49h before departure

Arrive at MGM more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±4 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MGM?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ 5pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at MGM that day

↓ MGM usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility0.666667 mi Precipnone

MGM (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5455 · DCA → MGM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MGM?