Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5459 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

OH 5459 · BGR → DCA

departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 8:09 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 62h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ BGR is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.6 mi forecast at BGR that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BGR (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precip0.02 in

DCA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5459 · BGR → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?