Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5477 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

OH 5477 · DCA → TLH

departs 7:46 PM ET · arrives 10:04 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 57h before departure

Arrive at TLH more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TLH?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 2.9 in of rain forecast at TLH that day

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ 7pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ TLH usually runs smoothly

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3.86667 mi Precipnone

TLH (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility4 mi Precip2.88 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5477 · DCA → TLH

Odds over time

How late will it get to TLH?