Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5554 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

OH 5554 · DCA → CAE

departs 8:59 PM ET · arrives 10:38 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CAE?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at DCA that day

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

CAE (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.17 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5554 · DCA → CAE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CAE?