Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5604 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

OH 5604 · CLT → PNS

departs 3:15 PM ET · arrives 4:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PNS?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at PNS that day

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precip0.16 in

PNS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.65 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5604 · CLT → PNS

Odds over time

How late will it get to PNS?