Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5617 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

OH 5617 · DCA → ECP

departs 9:58 AM ET · arrives 11:25 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 56h before departure

Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ECP?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ECP that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↓ Arrivals into ECP at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,433 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ECP (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip1.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5617 · DCA → ECP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ECP?