Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5617 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

OH 5617 · ECP → DCA

departs 11:55 AM CT · arrives 3:19 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ECP that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 11am departures from ECP are usually not late

Weather at each end

ECP (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.22 in

DCA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5617 · ECP → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?