OH 5644 · DCA → BGR

departs 10:04 PM ET · arrives 11:58 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at BGR more than 15 minutes late?

55% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BGR?

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
28%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at DCA that day

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

BGR (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5644 · DCA → BGR

Odds over time

How late will it get to BGR?