Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Monday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5678 SCHEDULED

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

OH 5678 · HPN → DCA

departs 6:30 AM ET · arrives 7:50 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HPN is prone to delays

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from HPN are usually not late

Weather at each end

HPN (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5678 · HPN → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?