Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3807 LANDED 2:48 PM CT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

OO 3807 · MSP → ICT

took off 1:30 PM CT · landed 2:48 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ MSP is busy at that time

↑ 1pm departures from MSP are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

ICT (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3807 · MSP → ICT

Odds over time