OO 409 · ORD → ATW

departs 10:25 AM CT · arrives 11:29 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATW?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATW

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ATW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 409 · ORD → ATW

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATW?