Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4958 LANDED 1:35 AM CT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

OO 4958 · ORD → FSD

took off 12:27 AM CT · landed 1:35 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 13h after departure

Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ 12am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FSD (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4958 · ORD → FSD

Odds over time