OO 6470 · CLT → TYS

departs 4:41 PM ET · arrives 5:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,571 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6470 · CLT → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?