Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5801 LANDED 2:22 PM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

PT 5801 · CLT → EWN

took off 1:43 PM ET · landed 2:22 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at EWN more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

EWN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5801 · CLT → EWN

Odds over time