Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5841 LANDED 2:44 PM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

PT 5841 · CLT → MDT

took off 1:39 PM ET · landed 2:44 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

MDT (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5841 · CLT → MDT

Odds over time