Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5866 LANDED 1:09 AM ET, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

PT 5866 · ORH → PHL

took off 12:13 AM ET · landed 1:09 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 22h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

ORH (origin) Gusts35 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5866 · ORH → PHL

Odds over time