PT 5892 · CLT → SBY

took off 3:12 PM ET · landed 4:09 PM ET (scheduled 2:47 PM ET → 4:19 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SBY more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SBY?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ 3pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

SBY (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5892 · CLT → SBY

Odds over time

How late did it get to SBY?