PT 5893 · CLT → LYH

departs 8:33 PM ET · arrives 9:38 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at LYH more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LYH?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

LYH (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5893 · CLT → LYH

Odds over time

How late will it get to LYH?