Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2490 LANDED 12:00 PM PT, ~10 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

QX 2490 · PDX → PAE

took off 11:23 AM PT · landed 12:00 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at PAE more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ QX's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at PDX that day

↓ PAE usually runs smoothly

↓ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at PAE that day

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

PAE (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2490 · PDX → PAE

Odds over time