Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 1804 LANDED 1:53 PM CT, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

SY 1804 · MSY → MSP

took off 11:31 AM CT · landed 1:53 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SY's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.02 in

MSP (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 1804 · MSY → MSP

Odds over time