Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

TURKISH AIRLINES · FLIGHT TK 6622 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:10 PM ET, ETA 3:37 PM +03) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

TK 6622 · MIA → IST

took off 10:10 PM ET · expected to land 3:37 PM +03 (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at IST more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into IST at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IST (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TK 6622 · MIA → IST

Odds over time