Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1501SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1501 · TPA → EWR
departs 5:45 PM ET · arrives 8:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
36%chance · ±8 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.