tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1501 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1501 · TPA → EWR

departs 5:45 PM ET · arrives 8:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
50% chance · ±5 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 5.8d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    49%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    13%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    17%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    9%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.