Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1501SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday
UA 1501 · TPA → EWR
departs 5:45 PM ET · arrives 8:36 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
48%chance · ±0 pts−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.