Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1785 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

UA 1785 · DCA → IAH

departs 4:59 PM ET · arrives 7:27 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3.8 mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1785 · DCA → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?