Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2224 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

UA 2224 · IAH → DCA

departs 7:50 PM CT · arrives 11:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 66h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ 7pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,433 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2224 · IAH → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?