WN 157 · SJD → LAS

departs 12:25 PM MST · arrives 3:10 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SJD

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

SJD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

LAS (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 157 · SJD → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?