Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 161
SCHEDULED
Monday, October 5 Today
WN 161 · DAL → LAX
departs 10:55 PM CT · arrives 12:12 AM PT
Your aircraft is N8993Q (B38M), coming in as WN 161 from ATL: in the air, landing about 11:00 PM CT, 9 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Tue 10/6 23%
Sun 10/11 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
98%
chance · ±0 pts
+27 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
98%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
44%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
1.0d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 68 min after the scheduled departure, about 57 min late from the gate after a typical 11-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 60%.
+27 pts
98%
Yes 98%
No 2%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 68 min after the scheduled departure, about 57 min late from the gate after a typical 11-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 66%.
+22 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 68 min after the scheduled departure, about 57 min late from the gate after a typical 11-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 11%.
+4 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 100%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
38%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from DAL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.