Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 161 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 6 Tomorrow

WN 161 · DAL → LAX

departs 12:03 AM CT · arrives 12:50 AM PT

Your aircraft is N8993Q (B38M), coming in as WN 161 from ATL: in the air, landing about 11:00 PM CT, 59 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from DAL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 161 · DAL → LAX

Odds over time