WN 1770 · DCA → AUS

departs 5:21 PM ET · arrives 8:03 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility9.85714 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1770 · DCA → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?